REPORT ON THE INTERBANK
LENDING AND BOND SYSTEM IN 2004
Turnover decreased and market interest
rates moved with a broader swing
In the 252 trading days of 2004, the national interbank lending
and bond market concluded 70,096 deals with a turnover of 13.396
trillion yuan, down 22.5 percent or 3.820 trillion yuan year-on-year.
Due to the comprehensive influence of macro-control efforts, interest
rate increase anticipation and capital supply and demand, money
market interest rates fluctuated more wildly, and maturities on
the bond market had differing tendencies. Long and medium-term bond
rates experienced sensitive fluctuations and short-terms kept active,
thus continually pushing up the composite bond index.
Lending volume shrank considerably while
the lending rate experienced ups and downs
In 2004, 8,108 deals of credit lending were concluded, with a
turnover of 1.456 trillion yuan and a daily average of 5.776 billion
yuan, down 39.88 percent year-on-year. In the first quarter, the
excess of supply over demand gradually dragged down the lending
rate. In the second quarter, the lending rate rebounded to its
highest point amidst the government's macro-control efforts. In
the second half of the year, due to the excess supply of market
capital over demand, the lending rate declined steadily and returned
to its March levels at the end of the year. The yearly high and
low of the weighted rate was 2.40 and 2.07 percent respectively.
Compared with 2003, seven of the eight tracked varieties of credit
lending rose while one declined. Among them, maturities above
1-month all increased; the 3-month and 2-month led the gainers
with a rise of 19.77 percent and 16.58 percent respectively. Turnover
shrank for all eight varieties. Among them, the 1-day, 14-day
and 1-month took the biggest tumbles, down 56.03 percent, 69.33
percent and 42.86 percent respectively. Repo turnover experienced
mixed fortunes and interest rates declined steadily.
In 2004, 39,105 repo deals were concluded on the interbank market,
with a trading value of 9.310 trillion yuan. The average daily
trading value stood at 36.946 billion yuan, down 20.88 percent
from 2003. Similar to the lending rate, the repo rate fell before
rising in the first half of the year and declined steadily in
the second half of the year. It closed the year at a historical
low of 1.88 percent. The yearly high and low of the weighted rate
were 2.43 percent and 1.88 percent respectively, registering a
range of 55 bps.
Compared with 2003, all short terms under 14-day shrank in both
rate and turnover. Among them, the 1-day was the biggest loser
with a loss of 10.87 percent. The turnover of the 7-day slumped
by 25.89 percent. Maturities over one month were more active.
Among them, the turnover of the 4-month enjoyed a rapid year-on-year
growth of 62.74 percent.
Outright repo turnover gradually increased
and the interest rate declined
Since the launch of outright repo in May 2004, 911 deals have
been sealed on the interbank market with a trading value of 126.265
billion yuan. The movements of the outright repo rate and the
repo rate basically kept in line with each other. The high and
low of the weighted rate were 2.58 percent and 2.12 percent respectively
this year, with a range of 46 bps. In terms of turnover, among
the seven varieties, short terms remained the most popular modes
of transaction. The 7-day was the most active, accounting for
65.65 percent of the total turnover and the 14-day ranked second
with its trading accounting for 12.82 percent of the grand total.
Short-term bonds were active and composite bond index fluctuated
and rose
In 2004, the cash bond market sealed 21,972 deals valued at 2.504
trillion yuan with an average daily volume of 9.977 billion yuan,
losing 19.15 percent year-on-year. Trading was still focused on
short terms, in particular, maturities under one year, whose trading
accounted for 45.84 percent of all transactions. While short term
yields continued to decrease, the composite bond index still rose.
The monthly high and low were 1,175.96 and 1,150.61, with a range
of 25 points.
In 2004, 292 bonds were traded in the interbank market, including
60 T-bonds, 103 financial bonds, 122 central bank papers, four
corporate bonds and three subordinated bonds of banks. Compared
with the previous year, the turnovers of all the other bonds decreased
to different extents, except that of central bank papers which
increased significantly.
Institutional financing.
In 2004, there were few changes in institutional financing. Capital
still flowed from state-owned commercial banks and joint stock
banks to other institutions. Compared with 2003, borrowing and
lending scales in many institutions shrank to different degrees,
due to the excess supply of capital over demand. In terms of borrowing,
joint stock banks led the losers with a loss of 43.01 percent
year-on-year. On the lending side, insurance companies witnessed
the biggest decrease with a loss of 61.8 percent year-on-year.
Securities companies also cut their financing significantly. One
thing worth noting was that funds companies and foreign-funded
financial institutions expanded their borrowing by over six times
and three times year-on-year and their lending increased by over
four times and 2.5 times, respectively.
|